Publications

Chadefaux T.. 2023. An automated pattern recognition system for conflict. Journal of Computational Science 72().

Boussalis C., Chadefaux T, Salvi A. and Decadri S.. 2022. Public and Private Information in International Crises: Diplomatic Correspondence and Conflict Anticipation. International Studies Quarterly 66(4).

Chadefaux, T. 2022. A shape-based approach to conflict forecasting. International Interactions ().

Turkoglu, O. and Chadefaux, T. 2022. The effect of terrorist attacks on attitudes and its duration. Political Science Research and Methods ().

Chadefaux, T. 2020. What the enemy knows: Common knowledge and the rationality of war. British Journal of Political Science 50(4). pp. 1593-1607

Turkoglu, O. and Chadefaux, T. 2019. Nowhere to go? Why do some civil wars generate more refugees than others?. International Interactions 45(2). pp. 401-420

Chadefaux, T. 2017. Market anticipations of conflict onsets. Journal of Peace Research 54(2). pp. 313-327

Spaiser, V., Chadefaux, T., Donnay, K., Russmann, F. and Helbing, D.. 2017. Communication power struggles on social media: A case study of the 2011–12 Russian protests. Journal of Information Technology & Politics 14(2). pp. 132-153

Chadefaux, T. 2017. Conflict forecasting and its limits. Data Science 1(1-2). pp. 7-17

Helbing, D., Brockmann, D., Chadefaux, T., Donnay, K., Blanke, U., Woolley-Meza, O., Moussaid, M., Johansson, A., Krause, J., Schutte, S. and Perc, M. 2015. Saving human lives: What complexity science and information systems can contribute. Journal of Statistical Physics 158(3). pp. 735-781

Chadefaux, T. 2014. Early warning signals for war in the news. Journal of Peace Research 51(1). pp. 5-18

Featured in The New York Times. Best visualization award 2014, Journal of Peace Research. Best paper award, Internet, Politics, Policy Conference, Oxford, 2012.

Chadefaux, T. and Helbing, D. 2012. The rationality of prejudices. PloS one 7(2). pp. 5-18

Chadefaux, T. 2011. Bargaining over power: When do shifts in power lead to war?. International Theory 3(2). pp. 228-253

Chadefaux, T. and Helbing, D. 2010. How wealth accumulation can promote cooperation. PLoS One 5(10).